Centro Alti Studi Difesa · Defence Wargaming Laboratory

Fronte Artico 2026 – Arctic Power Projection

Ten actors, different interests and simultaneous choices. An Arctic simulation exploring how decisions interact and produce consequences.

A decision on the Fronte Artico map, with the different actors’ markers on the simulation table
Fronte Artico 2026 · The simulation table at CASD.

THE METHOD

From interests to consequences

Every choice must explain the interest it serves, the effect it seeks and the conditions that make it possible.

  1. Take an actor’s perspective

    A dossier defines the actor’s interests, capabilities and dependencies.

  2. Decide privately

    The team chooses what to employ, where and why. New decisions remain hidden.

  3. Reveal and explain

    Orders are revealed together. Each team explains the choice it has already committed to.

  4. Determine outcomes

    Controllers compare effects, requirements and reasoning, recording the outcomes.

10actors
4session turns
4DIME instruments

SELECTED EXCERPTS

Four instruments, many possible choices

DIME brings together the Diplomatic, Informational, Military and Economic instruments. These excerpts show how they contribute to strategic reasoning.

D · Diplomatic

Excerpt of the Greenland Territorial consent and strategic infrastructure card

Territorial consent

Who can authorise employment on the territory?

I · Informational

Excerpt of the Italian COSMO-SkyMed radar constellation card

Satellite observation

What information does the decision need?

M · Military

Excerpt of the Italian San Giusto and San Marco package card

Presence and capability

What access, timing and support make presence possible?

E · Economic

Excerpt of the Icelandic Keflavík infrastructure and services card

Infrastructure and services

Which logistics nodes does the action depend on?

The Fronte Artico video

The presentation and discussion of the wargame, in the video shared by Adriano Pantaleo.

29 OCTOBER 2026 · CASD

Original talks and sources

Source: the ministerodifesa YouTube channel, recording dated 29 October 2026. The three links in Discover open sections of the same conference in their original context.

YouTube · 4:00:07

The designer explains the method

Adriano Pantaleo presents the objectives, design choices and limits of the exploration.

YouTube · 3:53:56

Wargaming, education and analysis

Andrea Bernardi introduces the tool and the Laboratory’s work.

YouTube · 4:05:47

The participants’ perspective

Participants describe interpreting interests and priorities different from their own.

Explore further: model choices and interpretation

An explicit model

The configuration includes ten actors, 60 capabilities and four turns of seven simulated days. Dossiers and cards distinguish documented capabilities, hypothesised applications and game parameters. Greenland is independently playable to explore local interests; that modelling choice is distinct from its constitutional status.

Independent choices and constraints

In this configuration teams do not negotiate directly while choosing. Every employment must be justified and meet the scenario’s access, availability and dependency requirements.

How to interpret outcomes

Adjudication determines the outcomes of player decisions through reasoned controller judgement, a separate process from evaluating learning. Overlaps make frictions and interdependencies visible. Outcomes depend on the model, conditions and session decisions: they support strategic reflection without predicting events.

Project and contributions

A Centro Alti Studi Difesa (CASD) wargame, developed within the Defence Wargaming Laboratory. Wargame & research designer: Dr Adriano Pantaleo, PhD, CASD expert. Co-designer & material design: Col. (ret.) Francesco Marradi, Founder & CEO of 2Towers Studio s.r.l. Graphic design and creation of the geographical map of the Arctic: Mr Paolo Scannapieco for the Defence Wargaming Laboratory. Professional contributions provided without remuneration.

Configuration documented in the CASD 2026 project brief and session materials. Presented at the second National Defence Conference on the Arctic and Antarctic on 29 October 2026.

Related projects

Two separate projects in an Arctic setting: Fronte Artico 2026 explores independent, simultaneous decisions; Arctic Science Diplomacy centres on negotiation.